Conference / Non Conference opponent tracker 25-26

[psyclone]

The wife of a great friend is a child psychologist trained at vcu Med School. So I got a 3 pack of vcu Tix as a Christmas present.

Game 1 was St. Louis.
Game 2 Dayton. Talent wise Dayton has dropped off a bit based on previous years.

vcu up 10-5 at the first TV to.
vcu up 42-23 at the last first half to
50-27 vcu up at the half
Dayton getting abused, down 74-41 at the under 12 to

Game 3 GMU

Dayton goes from a Kenpom 90 to 98 with the shellacking that they got from (now #47, previously 50) vcu.

Kenpom projects the following A10 wins for the top half of the league:
17 SLU
14 vcu
12 Mason
11 St. Joe's
10 Davidson
9 Dayton, Duq, URI, GW

 

[NewPatriot]

Dayton goes from a Kenpom 90 to 98 with the shellacking that they got from (now #47, previously 50) vcu.

Kenpom projects the following A10 wins for the top half of the league:
17 SLU
14 vcu
12 Mason
11 St. Joe's
10 Davidson
9 Dayton, Duq, URI, GW

So Mason goes 4-4 the rest of the way.

 

[jessej]

The wife of a great friend is a child psychologist trained at vcu Med School. So I got a 3 pack of vcu Tix as a Christmas present.

Game 1 was St. Louis.
Game 2 Dayton. Talent wise Dayton has dropped off a bit based on previous years.

vcu up 10-5 at the first TV to.
vcu up 42-23 at the last first half to
50-27 vcu up at the half
Dayton getting abused, down 74-41 at the under 12 to

Game 3 GMU

i suspect that Dayton Coach Anthony Grant

1) retires; or
2) resigns; or
3) is fired - soon

maybe courtesy lets him finish out the season, but i would not be surprised if one of the 3 occurs by Monday

 

[GMUgemini]

So Mason goes 4-4 the rest of the way.

Not surprising: we do play vcu and GW on the road (easily could be losses), SLU at home, which is not going to be a gimmie by any stretch, Dayton (which could be dangerous if we don’t take them seriously), and Richmond twice (who can get hot), not to mention the game today with a surging St. Joes.

It’s the toughest part of our schedule by far. Could see us losing even more than 4 of these. Hopefully we go 5-3 or better but with this team? Who knows.

 

[gmutom]

So Mason goes 4-4 the rest of the way.

It's not only possible but likely. It will be an upset if we beat vcu and GW on the road, and we will be underdogs against St. Louis at home. Managing a split against St. Joe's gets us to four losses, and that assumes we have no slip-ups at Richmond or at home against Dayton and St. Bonaventure.

 

[GMUgemini]

It's not only possible but likely. It will be an upset if we beat vcu and GW on the road, and we will be underdogs against St. Louis at home. Managing a split against St. Joe's gets us to four losses, and that assumes we have no slip-ups at Richmond or at home against Dayton and St. Bonaventure.

I did forget Castro missed last game: if his injury is several weeks there’s a caveat about our ability to beat them on the road there. They still have their shooters but with their interior defense shredded we have an opening there. We play them next Friday.

 

[gmutom]

I did forget Castro missed last game: if his injury is several weeks there’s a caveat about our ability to beat them on the road there. They still have their shooters but with their interior defense shredded we have an opening there. We play them next Friday.

I was going to like your previous comment until I realized we said the exact same thing at the exact same time.

 

[psyclone]

I did forget Castro missed last game: if his injury is several weeks there’s a caveat about our ability to beat them on the road there. They still have their shooters but with their interior defense shredded we have an opening there. We play them next Friday.

Castro is still listed as Out for today's GW game vs Duquesne.

https://atlantic10.com/sports/2025/12/3/availability-reporting-mbb-current.aspx

 

[GMU1983]

funny NET #74 and KENPOM stayed the same # 80

 

[psyclone]

funny NET #74 and KENPOM stayed the same # 80

I think we were around 7.5 favorites and won by 8. So no reason to move up or down.

 

[DRK331]

Chris Caputo and his GW team is currently on a 4 game losing streak

 

[jessej]

So Mason goes 4-4 the rest of the way.

after the SJ Win
ESPN Analytics predicts
losses
A - GWU
A - vcu
H - St. Louis

and 4 wins
A - Richmond
H - Dayton
A - St. Joes
H - St. Bon.

 

[GMU1983]

We will beat SLU

 

[jessej]

We will beat SLU

i am hoping for

the predicted 4 wins go chalk
an "upset" away win at GWU
and an upset away win at vcu

I believe that leaves ups at least tied for #2 in the A-10 with the tiebreaker over vcu and the #2 seed in the A-10 Tourney

 

[Portlandian]

Whatever keeps Mason into the top 4.

 

[GMUgemini]

Why is Davidson playing random Mid-Atlantic Christian on Monday?

Apparently, trying to find non-con games is so bad they had to fill their bye week with a non-D1 opponent (quote from Coach McKillop on their webpage).

 

[GMUgemini]

Whatever keeps Mason into the top 4.

And avoiding having to play SLU until the finals (although given it’ll mean having to play vcu in the semis, I don’t know what’s worse. We’ve never beaten vcu in a conference tournament game).