So, at this point, I feel relatively confident saying Paulsen has demonstrated that he can coach/develop guys at the a-10 level.
I am no longer willing to entertain the notion that this seasons results have been flukey. We are absolutely no worse than a mediocre A-10 team, which represents a substantial improvement in my opinion. I think it is perfectly rational to expect us to finish the season in the middle of the A-10 pack.
I further feel comfortable in saying that Paulsen has demonstrated that he can recruit at AT LEAST this level. The team is senior led, yes, but the progress of guys like Otis and Jaire leads me to believe that they will, by the time they are seniors, be replacement level guys for the seniors we have now. I see no reason why Paulsen would not be able to continue to recruit at that level, and his second recruiting (kier/Temara/wilson/boyd) class looks to me to be of a similar (at least) talent level.
The point is, after 1 and a half seasons, I firmly believe that Coach Paulsen's floor is "middle of the pack A-10", once he's got a full 4 year cycle of his guys in the program. Frankly, for me, that's good enough for now. A competent, competitive team that seems to have an idea of what they want to do, and a coach that seems to have an idea of how to get his team to do it is fine by me, even if they're maybe not the most talented bunch in the league.
The question, in my mind, is "what is his ceiling"? I don't have an answer for that just yet. His recruiting seems to be fairly level (Mar looks like a nice player, but I wouldn't say that he strikes me as an order of magnitude different from a guy like Boyd), but we haven't seen enough time pass to see what player development looks like under Paulsen over the course of a career. I don't think a 1 year bump can be extrapolated out over the course of a career.
Thoughts?