Game 28: GMU (21-6 / 9-5) at St. Joe’s (17-10 / 9-5) on Wednesday, February 25, at 7:00 PM.

Patriotsince81

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First meeting this year:
We beat St. Joe’s 60-52 in front of a raucous Homecoming crowd of 7,335 at EBA on Saturday, February 7. Jahari Long (20) and Riley Allenspach (13) led us in scoring. Jaiden Glover-Toscano (14), Derek Simpson (13), and Austin Williford (11) paced the Hawks. Glover-Toscano had all 14 of his points in the first half. Shutting him down in the second was the key to the game. We held them to just 30.8% from the field and 27% from deep. It was without a doubt one of our better defensive efforts on the year.

Box Score: https://gomason.com/sports/mens-basketball/stats/2025-26/saint-joseph-s/boxscore/13868

The game is on ESPN+.

KenPom:
Gives us a 51% chance of winning.
GMU - 103
St. Joe’s - 147
NET:
GMU - 99
St. Joe’s - 153

History:
We are 13-8 against St. Joe’s all-time.
Tony Skinn is 3-2 against the Hawks.

St, Joe’s is currently 17-10 on the season and 9-5 in A10 play. They are 11-3 at home, 4-7 on the road, and 2-0 at neutral sites.

The Hawks are 0-4 against Quad 1 teams, 0-2 vs Quad 2, 8-2 against Quad 3, and 6-2 against Quad 4 teams.

Schedule: https://sjuhawks.com/sports/mens-basketball/schedule

Wins: Lafayette (85-76), Drexel (76-65), Rutgers-Camden (100-61), Princeton (60-58), Temple (70-69), Coppin St. (87-65), Delaware St. (67-51), Arcadia (87-65), Duquesne (97-90 OT), Richmond (67-65), St. Bonaventure (68-64), Dayton (81-74), Loyola Chicago (85-64), La Salle (67-58), GW (76-73), St. Bonaventure (71-65), Loyola Chicago (75-61)
Losses: Va Tech (94-59), Penn (83-74), UNLV (99-85), Syracuse (71-63), Coastal Carolina (68-62), St. Louis (102-79), Davidson (62-56), vcu (79-72), GMU (60-52), Fordham (68-64)

Probable Starters:
6’6” Jaiden Glover-Toscano - 15.7 ppg & 4.7 reb - Sophomore
6’3” Derek Simpson - 13.4 ppg & 5.3 reb - Senior
6’8” Dasear Haskins - 11.5 ppg & 6.3 reb - Sophomore
6’4” Austin Williford - 7.7 ppg - Freshman
6’10” Justice Ajogbor - 5.2 ppg & 5.3 reb - Grad Student

Reserves averaging double figure minutes:
6’7” Anthony Finkley - 6.0 ppg - Junior - has 13 starts
5’10” Khaafiq Myers - 4.6 ppg - Freshman
6’11” Jaden Smith - 3.0 ppg - Sophomore - has 1 start

Roster: https://sjuhawks.com/sports/mens-basketball/roster

Team Stats:

St. Joe’s averages 73.5 points per game (10th in the A10) while giving up 70.7 (6th in the A10).

The Hawks shoot 42.6% from the floor (12th in the A10) and 30.4% from 3 (12th in the A10).
Opponents are shooting 41.4% from the field and 32.5% from 3.

The Hawks shoot 74.8% from the free throw line (4th in the A10).

They have out rebounded opponents by 3.2 boards per game and average 12.4 turnovers per contest.

Stats: https://sjuhawks.com/sports/mens-basketball/stats/2025-26

Thoughts: St. Joe’s is currently tied for 4th place so this is a big game on all counts.

If we lose we’re rapidly fading out of the top 4. An 8-1 start is beginning to look like a total collapse to 9-9. Damn I hate saying that but we’re lost right now.

Discuss.
 

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GMUgemini

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Don't play the 4 guard lineup.
Start Adebayo or Ellington with Riley. Riley needs rebounding and defensive help.
Bring Kanga and Stas in off the bench together. Kanga rebounds well and Stas can space the floor on offense.
Let Booker get some minutes from Presley.

They gave up 20 offensive rebounds the last time these two teams played so I’ll co-sign on this one.

We can’t have players being lackadaisical on closeouts either, or giving up on fighting through screens.

Limit open looks and fight for every rebound they can win this game.
 

Jack Strop

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As of the end of today, Mason, St. Joe's, and Dayton/Duq will be in a three-way tie. This makes the game at St. Joe's absolutely, critically, and crucially HUGE. Mason wins and we're still in the hunt for top-4. Mason loses and it's most likely #5 – #8, but not necessarily.

Head-to-head, we lose to both Dayton and Duquesne, and of course in a three-way.

In a three-way tie with one of the D's and SJ, and a Mason win at SJ, then we would be 2 — 1, D at 1 – 1; SJ 1 – 2 = Mason wins that tiebreaker. A loss @ SJ on Wednesday flips the standings, making us 1 – 2... and we're out.

If it comes to head-to-head versus SJ then it's really not all bad if we lose to them on Wednesday. Our records would 1 – 1 and we"d go to the next tie-breaker, best common opponent. SLU and vcu beat SJ. At worst we're going to be 0 – 1 versus SLU and 1 – 1 against vcu—advantage, Mason.

The best policy, however??? Just win.
 
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Patriotsince81

Patriotsince81

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