2024-2025 At Large Resume watch

[jruby]

Lunardi currently has Mason "Next 4 out"

Men's Bracketology: Don't bet against Tom Izzo in March

www.espn.com

Barking Crow and Draft Kings have Mason as an NIT 2nd and 3rd seed respectively.

NIT Bracketology - The Barking Crow

NIT Bracketology from the one and only Joe Stunardi, with a full statistical model plus explanations of exempt bids and automatic bids for 2025.

thebarkingcrow.com

Bracketology 2025 - NCAA Tournament / NIT Projections

Our Bracketology for 2025! We list projections for all of NCAA Basketball tournament seeds as well as the NIT tournament in March.

www.dratings.com

Seeded teams are usually on the the bubble..just outside looking in..Mason is in the conversation!!

The difference is between vcu and Mason is the rams are decisively beating opponents and Mason's just getting by. You wanna move the NET needle..start beating the dregs of the league(fordham,Richmond, Lasalle) by 10 points or more...blowouts are part of the kenpom and net equations...bottom line better offense
.

Don’t bother doing math or analytics, it’s not really working. You are 100% correct though, vcu is way ahead in the net because of their huge margin of victory beating the spread. Mason is barely winning games which hurts.

2 quad 1 wins with vcu assuming Dayton can get back up into top 75 would have made it real interesting. 1 quad 1 win isn’t going to be enough to offset the quad 3 and 4 loses. The teams on the bubble with the exception of vcu and SMU all have multiple quad 1 wins: if Dayton fails to get back to a quad 1 you can forget about even the 1-3% because no one without a quad 1 has gotten in since the start of the net.

 

[GMU79]

Lunardi currently has Mason "Next 4 out"

Men's Bracketology: Don't bet against Tom Izzo in March

www.espn.com

Barking Crow and Draft Kings have Mason as an NIT 2nd and 3rd seed respectively.

NIT Bracketology - The Barking Crow

NIT Bracketology from the one and only Joe Stunardi, with a full statistical model plus explanations of exempt bids and automatic bids for 2025.

thebarkingcrow.com

Bracketology 2025 - NCAA Tournament / NIT Projections

Our Bracketology for 2025! We list projections for all of NCAA Basketball tournament seeds as well as the NIT tournament in March.

www.dratings.com

Seeded teams are usually on the the bubble..just outside looking in..Mason is in the conversation!!

The difference is between vcu and Mason is the rams are decisively beating opponents and Mason's just getting by. You wanna move the NET needle..start beating the dregs of the league(fordham,Richmond, Lasalle) by 10 points or more...blowouts are part of the kenpom and net equations...bottom line better offense

Also..look at the NIT...there's a bunch of solid power conference and high performing mid majors listed.

UNC, Georgia, LSU, Ohio State, UCF, Georgetown, Oregon State and more are all potential opponents in the NIT..that sure as h$ll beats Mason OOC schedule this year..you dont think Mason fans would be storming the court for beating Ohio state, Georgetown or say Texas??!! You gotta be kidding me!! Most of us here would need "Depends"...from peeing in our pants with excitement..
.

Yes, indeed!

 

[Leesburg Chankenstank III]

The vcu loss has severely traumatized Mr Ruby

 

[GSII]

Don’t bother doing math or analytics, it’s not really working. You are 100% correct though, vcu is way ahead in the net because of their huge margin of victory beating the spread. Mason is barely winning games which hurts.

I think someone explained the net dispairity with vcu and Mason. Their offensive effiecency is much higher than ours. This was before our game and they had like a 30pt difference in net.

On a seperate note, what was it like to kill Lee Harvey?

 

[phoenix-arizona]

2. George Mason*

Georgetown

 

[GMUgemini]

The CMU game really is the one that hurts. It will haunt us if we make it to the finals and lose and get left out of the tournament. ECU is turning out halfway decent this year (161 NET—yes, a Q3 game but early season on the road you can absorb that loss so long as you don’t trip up somewhere else, which we did already).

The fact that SLU had such a disastrous start to the season and Loyola got hurt and plummeted before recovering didn’t help the conference overall either but you can’t help that (and we beat both teams).

I’m not holding out hope that Dayton can go on a run and put themselves back into Q1 material.

 

[mkaufman1]

2. George Mason*

Georgetown

Unfortunately I have a feeling schools like UNC and Georgetown would be more likely to decline their invite to the NIT. And Georgetown especially would decline if it meant playing locally at Mason.

 

[2011WinOverVillanova]

Unfortunately I have a feeling schools like UNC and Georgetown would be more likely to decline their invite to the NIT. And Georgetown especially would decline if it meant playing locally at Mason.

Well if they did that? We should do a full page ad in the Washington post calling them cowards.

 

[Verdad]

Unfortunately I have a feeling schools like UNC and Georgetown would be more likely to decline their invite to the NIT. And Georgetown especially would decline if it meant playing locally at Mason.

Then we put up a billboard in Georgetown calling them out

 

[NewPatriot]

The CMU game really is the one that hurts. It will haunt us if we make it to the finals and lose and get left out of the tournament. ECU is turning out halfway decent this year (161 NET—yes, a Q3 game but early season on the road you can absorb that loss so long as you don’t trip up somewhere else, which we did already).

The fact that SLU had such a disastrous start to the season and Loyola got hurt and plummeted before recovering didn’t help the conference overall either but you can’t help that (and we beat both teams).

I’m not holding out hope that Dayton can go on a run and put themselves back into Q1 material.

Dayton is currently ranked 76 in the NET...all they need to do is move up 1 spot to 75 and stay there to.be Q1..very doable..

 

[phoenix-arizona]

Unfortunately I have a feeling schools like UNC and Georgetown would be more likely to decline their invite to the NIT. And Georgetown especially would decline if it meant playing locally at Mason.

Too true. Send us Bradley or Princeton!

 

[GMUgemini]

Dayton is currently ranked 76 in the NET...all they need to do is move up 1 spot to 75 and stay there to.be Q1..very doable..

Yes but given their final four games and the way they’ve been playing they could just as easily go 1-3 as they could 4-0, so I don’t know. I

 

[GSII]

Cooley will play us. Just to piss Kimmie off.

 

[GMU1983]

Dayton back to 75 in NET we need them to win tonight. Us 1-3 against QUAD 1 -- vcu 1-1. Some on here don't realize we are the next four out with Lunardi, but if the Dayton Quad 1 stays we will move up further!

 

[Verdad]

More the dust settles after the vcu game, looking at the bubble landscape, I don't see how we move up enough to get inside the bubble.

The best-case scenario if we win out and lose in the final:

1. Next 4 wins would be over 232, @ 159, 228 and @253 (bleh)
2. Qtr and Semi A10 tournament wins would be vs a ~100 and 75.
3. Then we lose to vcu in the finals, again.

We end up at 26-7, 16-2 in conference with maybe 1 quad 1 win (don't think a Dayton neutral win would be another quad 1).

Do those 6 straight wins and another "good" loss get us over the 10 or so bubble teams we are competing with? I don't see how.

I do look forward to Jay Bilas losing his shit if it does, but at this point I'm probably going to transition to rooting for matchups in tournament and upsets to make our path easier to tournament title.

Plus getting in as tournament champ vs at large keeps us out of 1st four games in Dayton.

 

[GMU1983]

Good run down

 

[NewPatriot]

More the dust settles after the vcu game, looking at the bubble landscape, I don't see how we move up enough to get inside the bubble.

The best-case scenario if we win out and lose in the final:

1. Next 4 wins would be over 232, @ 159, 228 and @253 (bleh)
2. Qtr and Semi A10 tournament wins would be vs a ~100 and 75.
3. Then we lose to vcu in the finals, again.

We end up at 26-7, 16-2 in conference with maybe 1 quad 1 win (don't think a Dayton neutral win would be another quad 1).

Do those 6 straight wins and another "good" loss get us over the 10 or so bubble teams we are competing with? I don't see how.

I do look forward to Jay Bilas losing his shit if it does, but at this point I'm probably going to transition to rooting for matchups in tournament and upsets to make our path easier to tournament title.

Plus getting in as tournament champ vs at large keeps us out of 1st four games in Dayton.

Mason has to decisively beat every team between now and the a10 final by double digits in order to take significant steps in the NET...that means the team has to share the basketball not settling for anything less than uncontest open shots or layups or dunks..hit free throws..an eliminate unforced turnovers..

 

[Patriot8]

More the dust settles after the vcu game, looking at the bubble landscape, I don't see how we move up enough to get inside the bubble.

The best-case scenario if we win out and lose in the final:

1. Next 4 wins would be over 232, @ 159, 228 and @253 (bleh)
2. Qtr and Semi A10 tournament wins would be vs a ~100 and 75.
3. Then we lose to vcu in the finals, again.

We end up at 26-7, 16-2 in conference with maybe 1 quad 1 win (don't think a Dayton neutral win would be another quad 1).

Do those 6 straight wins and another "good" loss get us over the 10 or so bubble teams we are competing with? I don't see how.

I do look forward to Jay Bilas losing his shit if it does, but at this point I'm probably going to transition to rooting for matchups in tournament and upsets to make our path easier to tournament title.

Plus getting in as tournament champ vs at large keeps us out of 1st four games in Dayton.

We end up 27-7*

First Four in Dayton would be ideal. We like winning in that building.

 

[Verdad]

We end up 27-7*

First Four in Dayton would be ideal. We like winning in that building.

I wasn't counting Ferrum since it wasn't D1.

My personal issue with 1st 4 is schedule conflict/travel difficulty

 

[GMU1983]