Game 31: GMU (22-8 / 10-7) vs #25 St. Louis (26-3 / 14-2) on Saturday, March 7, at 4:00 PM.

Patriotsince81

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Saint Louis plays Loyola Chicago at home on Wednesday night. I’ll update Thursday morning. It’s Senior Night for them so I’m thinking they should walk away with the win.

Preseason predictions:
St. Louis was picked to finish 2nd in A10 Preseason Polls. They are currently in 1st place.
Robbie Avila - 1st Team All-Conference

The game is on USA.

KenPom:
Gives us a 25% chance of winning.
GMU - 107
St. Louis - 27
NET:
GMU - 98
St. Louis - 24

History:
We are 6-11against St. Louis all-time.
Tony Skinn is 2-0 against the Billikens.

St. Louis is currently 26-3 on the season and 14-2 in A10 play. They are 18-0 at home, 7-2 on the road, and 1-1 at neutral sites.

The Billikens are 2-1 against Quad 1 teams, 5-1 against Quad 2, 8-1 against Quad 3, and 10-0 against Quad 4 teams.

Schedule: https://slubillikens.com/sports/mens-basketball/schedule

Wins: Southeast Missouri (92-67), Chicago St. (108-86), Lindenwood (109-66), Grand Canyon (78-64), Purdue Fort Wayne (91-60), Santa Clara (71-70), LMU (91-70), Central Michigan (107-65), San Francisco (85-75), Bethune-Cookman (112-53), New Hampshire (93-79), Principia (114-33), St. Joe’s (102-79), vcu (71-62), La Salle (84-72), Fordham (78-56), Richmond (88-63), Duquesne (81-77), St. Bonaventure (97-62), GW (79-76), Dayton (102-71), Davidson (91-82), La Salle (82-58), Loyola Chicago (86-59), vcu (88-75), Duquesne (91-76),
Losses: Stanford (78-77), Rhode Island (81-76), Dayton (77-62)

Probable Starters:
6’10” Robbie Avila - 13.0 ppg & 4.5 reb - Senior
6’0” Trey Green - 11.4 ppg - Sophomore
6’3” Dion Brown - 11.0 ppg & 5.7 reb - Senior
6’6” Amari McCottry - 10.2 ppg & 5.3 reb - Sophomore
6’5” Quentin Jones - 10.0 ppg & 4.1 reb - Junior

Reserves averaging double figure minutes:
6’5” Ishan Sharma - 9.3 ppg - Sophomore - has 2 starts
6’6” Kellen Thames - 9.9 ppg - Junior - has 1 start
6’7” Brady Dunlap - 7.1 ppg - Sophomore - has 2 starts
6’9” Paul Otieno - 5.8 ppg - Senior - has 3 starts

Roster: https://slubillikens.com/sports/mens-basketball/roster

Team Stats:

St. Louis averages 89.2 points per game (1st in the A10) while giving up 68.7 (4th in the A10).

The Billikens shoot 51.4% from the floor (1st in the A10) and 40.9% from 3 (1st in the A10). They are 1st in the league with 327 made 3’s. We have 176 so they have almost doubled our production from deep.
Opponents are shooting 36.9% from the field and 28.3% from 3.

They shoot 73.8% from the free throw line (7th in the A10).

The Billikens have out rebounded opponents by 9.0 boards per game and average 12.6 turnovers per contest.

Stats: https://slubillikens.com/sports/mens-basketball/stats

Thoughts: They have a pretty impressive resume to date.

A10 Ranks: Saint Louis is 1st in the A10 in scoring, margin of victory, field goal percentage, opponent field goal percentage, 3 point percentage, 3 pointers made, rebounding, rebound margin, and assist to turnover ratio.

National Ranks: They rank 7th nationally in scoring offense, 1st in scoring margin, 5th in field goal percentage, 1st in 3 point percentage, 7th in 3 pointers per game, 1st in field goal percentage defense, 3rd in 3 point field goal defense, 9th in rebound margin, and 9th in rebounds per game.

Saint Louis is a complete team in every sense of the word. Eight guys average between 7.1 and 13.0 points per game. You can’t focus on one or two guys, they have 8 who can go off and hurt you. Season highs as follows. Avila (22), Brown (21), Green (23), Jones (19), McCottry (23), Sharma (29), Thames (18), Dunlap (22). Pick your poison.

They average 89.2 and give up just 68.7. Blowouts are commonplace. They have scored over 100 points 7 times this season and over 90 in an additional 7 games. They have held opponents under 70 points 13 times.

Are they invincible? No, they do have three losses including one on the road at Rhode Island. This would be a great win to say the least but it’s going to take a full 40 minutes on both sides of the ball to do it. I hope we come out tough and compete! Go Mason!

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